That's an interesting question. I've developed an AI prediction platform. So I guess you could just check-in with AI intermittently and ask it if it is AGI yet :)
I actually considered including it, but desided against since it seems a bit outdated. The Turing test in the resolution criteria is no longer running, and AIs might have passed it already if it was.
The only criteria left might be the Montezuma's Revenge criteria. But Operator is already able to perform similar tasks (but could not be tested on Montezuma's revenge), see this comment:
That's an interesting question. I've developed an AI prediction platform. So I guess you could just check-in with AI intermittently and ask it if it is AGI yet :)
"If you know of a market that I have missed, please tell me in the comment section!"
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/
"When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?"
( today's date estimates: 2026-10-10 (2025-09-05 - 2029-04-27) )
Thank you for the suggestion!
I actually considered including it, but desided against since it seems a bit outdated. The Turing test in the resolution criteria is no longer running, and AIs might have passed it already if it was.
The only criteria left might be the Montezuma's Revenge criteria. But Operator is already able to perform similar tasks (but could not be tested on Montezuma's revenge), see this comment:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/#comment-253956
Many Thanks!
Hey I'm doing a similar project and aim to have a dashboard up soon.
Cool! I'd love to know more, please tell me when you are done with the dashboard